Home › Q&A › We're open-sourcing a model: which quant

We're open-sourcing a model: which quantization format ships first, NVFP4 or MXFP4?

Asked by:创始人·开源模型团队 CTO · Judged · 张倩 Cynthia Zhang · FutureX Capital

Ship NVFP4 first. Nvidia's proprietary format has taken the distribution default for open weights: measured on Hugging Face on 8/29, NVFP4 had 51.1M downloads over the trailing 30 days versus 1.29M for MXFP4, the open standard co-signed by seven companies, forty to one.

Judgment

The mainstream narrative expects the open standard co-signed by seven companies to become the default format. The diary reads the download counts: the open-weights ecosystem chose Nvidia's proprietary format on its own, nearly half of the distribution is done for free by the community, and Nvidia is itself a signatory of MXFP4.

Facts

Full paginated pull of the unauthenticated HF API on 2026-08-29: NVFP4 had 51.1M downloads over the trailing 30 days (3330 repos), MXFP4 1.29M (1608 repos). 46.6% of NVFP4 downloads sit outside the Nvidia organization; the largest distributor is community quantizer unsloth at 8.69M. Nvidia is reportedly seeking to buy Hugging Face for $12.9B; as of 8/29 the deal is not signed and both sides declined to comment.

What to do

For founders: do not put "supports the open standard" in your pitch; ship NVFP4 weights first and measure distribution only by third-party repo downloads. For investors: mark down quantization and inference toolchains that bet only on MXFP4, and value distribution built on HF as a rented channel, since the platform terms allow service to be terminated at any time.

Falsifier (verbatim from the diary footnote)

Within 12 months of this entry's publication date, if MXFP4's 30-day downloads overtake NVFP4's, this entry does not hold; the adjudicating source is the unauthenticated HF API.
Ledger status:判断台账:ENTRY 130 ⏳ 进行中(2026-08-29 立,证伪窗口 12 个月,台账卡片尚无对账记录)。
Disclosure: This diary is written and verified with Claude; discount any judgment about Anthropic, favourable or not; FutureX Capital holds Hugging Face; discount in both directions.
Source entries:ENTRY 130 · 开放权重生态自己选了英伟达的私有格式
Related questions:
Topic pages:NVIDIA · Hugging Face