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How much does Anthropic's cache-read price cut actually save on my bill?

Asked by:创始人·AI 应用 CTO / agent 产品负责人 · Judged · 张倩 Cynthia Zhang · FutureX Capital

Work it out yourself from your pre-September bill: share saved = 0.75 × (cache-read spend ÷ total), and it holds only for Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. On 9/1 Anthropic cut the cache-read price from $1 to $0.25 and left input and output prices untouched.

Judgment

The mainstream story repeats the press-release line of a typical bill falling around 25% and up to around 45%. The diary parts ways here: those are the declines in Anthropic's measured sample, which imply cache reads were 33% and 60% of the bill (the author's back-calculation, not an official figure). A different share gives a different saving.

Facts

Anthropic released Fable 5.1 on 9/1; per its official pricing page, cache-read fell from $1 to $0.25 (0.025x the input price), with the other five items unchanged. Anthropic says typical bills fall around 25% and highly agentic ones up to around 45%, a range and not a committed value, and it did not disclose cache-read share. OpenAI and Google are at 0.1x and DeepSeek at about 0.032x (official pricing pages, fetched 2026-09-02).

What to do

For founders: take your pre-September bill, count the cache_read share only on the Fable and Mythos SKUs, and multiply it by 0.75; mixing in Opus and Sonnet overstates the saving. For investors: compare vendors on absolute prices, since a low multiple only describes the shape of the bill.

Falsifier (verbatim from the diary footnote)

Within 12 months from 2026-09-02, if Google removes its hourly cache storage fee and the cache-write multiples of all four vendors fall within the 1.0-1.5x range, then "price sheets are not comparable" no longer holds, this entry's main judgment is marked ✗, and the judgment ledger is downgraded to under observation; the adjudicating source is the four vendors' official pricing pages, to be fetched on the same day with readings published.
Ledger status:⏳ 进行中(判断台账)。证伪口裁定的是「报价表不可比」这一主判断,省钱公式本身无单独证伪口。2026-09-25 对账:Anthropic 9/22 发 Opus 5.5,缓存读 $0.20(0.05 倍),缓存读倍数现在分三档,0.75 公式只对 Fable/Mythos 档成立,Opus 5.5 档系数为 0.5。
Disclosure: This diary is written and verified with Claude; discount any judgment about Anthropic, favourable or not; FutureX Capital does not, on publicly available information, hold the companies discussed here.
Source entries:ENTRY 132 · Anthropic 只降了缓存读价,省多少全看你账单那一行
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Topic pages:Anthropic · Claude · OpenAI · GPT · DeepSeek · 深度求索 · Model pricing · caching · token economics